Uttaradit FC vs Muang Thong United

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Uttaradit FC

Muang Thong United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 39.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% 3.03 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 42.6% 2.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Uttaradit FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.7% win probability, compared with 30.8% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Uttaradit FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uttaradit FC Muang Thong United

Shots 17.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Uttaradit FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uttaradit FC Muang Thong United

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uttaradit FC Muang Thong United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Uttaradit FC ↓ -1.11 (-26.7%)

Muang Thong United ↑ +0.46 (+26.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.