Modbury Jets Reserves vs Cumberland United Reserves

05 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Modbury Jets Reserves

Cumberland United Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 30.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% 1.98 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 30.8% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Modbury Jets Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Modbury Jets Reserves Cumberland United Reserves

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Modbury Jets Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Modbury Jets Reserves Cumberland United Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Cumberland United Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Modbury Jets Reserves Cumberland United Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Modbury Jets Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Cumberland United Reserves ↑ +0.22 (+8.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.