The Cove FC Reserves vs Adelaide Olympic Reserves

05 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

The Cove FC Reserves

Adelaide Olympic Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 38.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.60 DRAW 23.6% 4.00 AWAY 40.1% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: The Cove FC Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

The Cove FC Reserves Adelaide Olympic Reserves

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours The Cove FC Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

The Cove FC Reserves Adelaide Olympic Reserves

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Adelaide Olympic Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

The Cove FC Reserves Adelaide Olympic Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

The Cove FC Reserves ↓ -0.30 (-10.3%)

Adelaide Olympic Reserves ↑ +0.45 (+23.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.