Romanija Pale vs Zvijezda 09

11 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Romanija Pale

Zvijezda 09

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 17.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% 1.70 DRAW 25.2% 3.70 AWAY 20.2% 4.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Romanija Pale relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.1% win probability, compared with 54.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Romanija Pale has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Romanija Pale Zvijezda 09

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Romanija Pale, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Romanija Pale Zvijezda 09

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 8.3

Romanija Pale has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Romanija Pale Zvijezda 09

The combined recent performance profile favours Romanija Pale.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Romanija Pale ↑ +0.09 (+5.5%)

Zvijezda 09 ↑ +0.27 (+6.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.