PT Satun vs Muang Thong United

15 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

PT Satun

Muang Thong United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.30 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 32.9% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Muang Thong United

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PT Satun Muang Thong United

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Muang Thong United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PT Satun Muang Thong United

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8

PT Satun has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PT Satun Muang Thong United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PT Satun ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

Muang Thong United ↓ -0.04 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.