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Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · BA

FK Majevica Lopare vs Sutjeska Foca

21 Oct 2026 · 14:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Match Performance

Across 6 and 6 recent matches with recorded scores, respectively, the home side won 2 and the visitors won 2.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.67 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.32. The visitors averaged 0.67 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.32.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns a home win for FK Majevica Lopare. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 71.6%, compared with 64.2% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +7.4 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.40 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.40. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for FK Majevica Lopare, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
FK Majevica Lopare
STOCHASTICBET 71.6%
BET365 64.2% odd 1.40
DIFFERENCE +7.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 18.5%
BET365 21.4% odd 4.20
DIFFERENCE -2.9 pp
AWAY
Sutjeska Foca
STOCHASTICBET 9.9%
BET365 14.4% odd 6.25
DIFFERENCE -4.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 20 Oct 2026 · 17:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FK Majevica Lopare

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Majevica Lopare Sutjeska Foca
Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 0.5 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Majevica Lopare, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Majevica Lopare Sutjeska Foca
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Sutjeska Foca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Majevica Lopare Sutjeska Foca

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Majevica Lopare.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-21 02:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 243 matches with scores · 131 with shots · coverage 53.9%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

FK Majevica Lopare6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWLWDL
Shot data available for 2/6 matches
Sutjeska Foca6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLDLWL
Shot data available for 0/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
+0.351.67 actual
Sutjeska FocaAway team
−0.650.67 actual
FK Majevica Lopare: 1.67 · league average 1.32 · 6 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: 0.67 · league average 1.32 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK Majevica LopareHome team
—Insufficient data
Sutjeska FocaAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Majevica Lopare: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSutjeska Foca: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Individual match details

FK Majevica Lopare · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–1——
10/10/2026Home3–0——
03/10/2026Away0–6——
26/09/2026Home5–118 / 28 / 1
23/09/2026Home1–111 / 155 / 5
19/09/2026Away0–1——
Sutjeska Foca · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home2–1——
10/10/2026Away1–2——
03/10/2026Home0–0——
26/09/2026Away0–1——
23/09/2026Home1–0——
19/09/2026Away0–1——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.