Salisbury Inter (W) vs West Adelaide (W)

04 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Salisbury Inter (W)

West Adelaide (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 44.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.88 DRAW 25.3% 3.64 AWAY 42.8% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

West Adelaide (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Salisbury Inter (W) West Adelaide (W)

Shots 19.5 · On target 9.3 Shots 21.0 · On target 11.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Salisbury Inter (W) West Adelaide (W)

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.3

West Adelaide (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Salisbury Inter (W) West Adelaide (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours West Adelaide (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Salisbury Inter (W) ↑ +0.25 (+9.5%)

West Adelaide (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.