Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Stade Tunisien

Club Africain

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% DRAW 35.3% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% 3.16 DRAW 34.3% 2.70 AWAY 36.3% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Africain

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stade Tunisien Club Africain

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stade Tunisien Club Africain

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Club Africain has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stade Tunisien Club Africain

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Africain.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Stade Tunisien ↓ -0.01 (-0.2%)

Club Africain ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.