Osogovo Kocani vs Belasica Strumica

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Osogovo Kocani

Belasica Strumica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.8% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 50.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.7% 4.38 DRAW 26.4% 3.44 AWAY 52.8% 1.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Belasica Strumica

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Osogovo Kocani Belasica Strumica

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Osogovo Kocani Belasica Strumica

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Osogovo Kocani has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Osogovo Kocani Belasica Strumica

The combined recent performance profile favours Osogovo Kocani.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Osogovo Kocani ↑ +2.38 (+119.0%)

Belasica Strumica ↓ -1.63 (-48.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.