Novaci vs Ohrid

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Novaci

Ohrid

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.5% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 72.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.9% 9.60 DRAW 18.8% 5.05 AWAY 71.3% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ohrid

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Novaci Ohrid

Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Ohrid, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Novaci Ohrid

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Novaci Ohrid

The combined recent performance profile favours Ohrid.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Novaci ↑ +1.15 (+13.6%)

Ohrid = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.