Broadbeach United vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

05 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Broadbeach United

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% 1.97 DRAW 25.5% 3.72 AWAY 26.3% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sunshine Coast Wanderers clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.0% win probability, compared with 26.3% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Broadbeach United Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Broadbeach United Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Broadbeach United Sunshine Coast Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Broadbeach United ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Sunshine Coast Wanderers ↑ +0.70 (+24.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.