Al Shorta SC vs Ghaz Al Shamal

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Al Shorta SC

Ghaz Al Shamal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 11.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% 1.53 DRAW 23.5% 4.10 AWAY 13.7% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Shorta SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.3% win probability, compared with 62.8% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Shorta SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Shorta SC Ghaz Al Shamal

Shots 17.8 · On target 8.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Shorta SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Shorta SC Ghaz Al Shamal

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Al Shorta SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Shorta SC Ghaz Al Shamal

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Shorta SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Shorta SC ↑ +0.11 (+8.0%)

Ghaz Al Shamal = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.