Al Naft SC vs Karbalaa FC

14 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Al Naft SC

Karbalaa FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 16.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.82 DRAW 28.5% 3.44 AWAY 17.5% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Naft SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Naft SC Karbalaa FC

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Naft SC Karbalaa FC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Naft SC Karbalaa FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Naft SC ↑ +0.15 (+9.2%)

Karbalaa FC ↑ +1.10 (+24.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.