Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan

17 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

Al Karkh

Naft Maysan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 31.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% 2.48 DRAW 31.2% 2.95 AWAY 31.7% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Karkh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Karkh Naft Maysan

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Karkh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Karkh Naft Maysan

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Naft Maysan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Karkh Naft Maysan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Karkh ↑ +0.13 (+5.5%)

Naft Maysan = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.