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Iraq Stars League · IQ

Karbalaa FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

07 Sep 2026 · 19:00
NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp
Karbalaa FC
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
HOME 16.0% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 58.5%
HOME 14.5% 6.42 DRAW 24.6% 3.80 AWAY 60.9% 1.53

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Karbalaa FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Karbalaa FC Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Karbalaa FC Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Karbalaa FC Al Quwa Al Jawiya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Karbalaa FC ↑ +0.92 (+16.7%)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.