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Iraq Stars League · IQ

Al Jolan SC vs Zakho

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00
NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp
Al Jolan SC
Zakho
HOME 23.9% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 45.1%
HOME 25.2% 3.85 DRAW 30.8% 3.15 AWAY 44.1% 2.20

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Jolan SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Jolan SC Zakho
Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Jolan SC Zakho
Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Zakho has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Jolan SC Zakho

The combined recent performance profile favours Zakho.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Jolan SC ↑ +0.85 (+28.3%)
Zakho ↓ -0.05 (-2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.