Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal

08 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Duhok

Ghaz Al Shamal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.66 DRAW 27.1% 3.35 AWAY 18.2% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Duhok

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Duhok, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Duhok ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

Ghaz Al Shamal ↑ +0.25 (+5.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.