Panionios vs Apollon Kalamarias

14 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Panionios

Apollon Kalamarias

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.6% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 7.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.2% 1.29 DRAW 19.1% 5.00 AWAY 6.8% 14.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Apollon Kalamarias

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Panionios Apollon Kalamarias

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Panionios Apollon Kalamarias

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Panionios has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Panionios Apollon Kalamarias

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Panionios ↑ +0.02 (+1.2%)

Apollon Kalamarias ↑ +0.40 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.