Villarreal vs Real Betis

14 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Villarreal

Real Betis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 2.01 DRAW 24.0% 4.11 AWAY 27.0% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Villarreal

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villarreal Real Betis

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villarreal Real Betis

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Villarreal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villarreal Real Betis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Villarreal ↑ +0.08 (+4.1%)

Real Betis ↓ -0.37 (-9.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.