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Iraq Stars League · IQ

Al Zawra'a vs Al Kahrabaa

07 Sep 2026 · 19:00
NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp
Al Zawra'a
Al Kahrabaa
HOME 59.0% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 15.9%
HOME 58.6% 1.55 DRAW 25.2% 3.60 AWAY 16.1% 5.64

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Zawra'a

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Zawra'a Al Kahrabaa
Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Zawra'a Al Kahrabaa
Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Al Zawra'a has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Zawra'a Al Kahrabaa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Zawra'a ↑ +0.04 (+2.6%)
Al Kahrabaa ↓ -0.45 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.