CA Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

CA Colegiales

Nueva Chicago

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.83 DRAW 29.0% 3.36 AWAY 17.7% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nueva Chicago

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Colegiales Nueva Chicago

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Colegiales Nueva Chicago

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Colegiales Nueva Chicago

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Colegiales ↓ -0.22 (-10.7%)

Nueva Chicago ↑ +0.70 (+14.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.