Spartak Medzev vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce

08 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Spartak Medzev

MFK Zemplin Michalovce

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.2% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 75.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.0% 13.20 DRAW 13.3% 7.00 AWAY 79.7% 1.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Spartak Medzev relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 10.2% win probability, compared with 7.0% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Spartak Medzev

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Medzev MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Shots 10.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Medzev MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Spartak Medzev has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Medzev MFK Zemplin Michalovce

The combined recent performance profile favours Spartak Medzev.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Spartak Medzev ↑ +2.20 (+20.0%)

MFK Zemplin Michalovce = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.