Central Norte vs Almirante Brown

06 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Central Norte

Almirante Brown

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 37.0% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.18 DRAW 35.3% 2.75 AWAY 20.3% 4.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Almirante Brown

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Central Norte Almirante Brown

Shots 6.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Almirante Brown, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Central Norte Almirante Brown

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Central Norte has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Central Norte Almirante Brown

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Central Norte ↓ -0.32 (-12.8%)

Almirante Brown ↑ +1.24 (+35.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.