Colon vs Deportivo Moron

05 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Colon

Deportivo Moron

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 18.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.94 DRAW 30.8% 3.13 AWAY 19.4% 4.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Colon has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colon Deportivo Moron

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Colon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colon Deportivo Moron

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Colon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colon Deportivo Moron

The combined recent performance profile favours Colon.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Colon ↓ -0.06 (-3.0%)

Deportivo Moron ↑ +0.26 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.