Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Parana

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Deportivo Maipu

Patronato Parana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.16 DRAW 31.7% 3.07 AWAY 23.4% 4.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Patronato Parana

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Maipu Patronato Parana

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Patronato Parana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Maipu Patronato Parana

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Maipu Patronato Parana

The combined recent performance profile favours Patronato Parana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Maipu ↓ -0.09 (-4.0%)

Patronato Parana ↑ +0.13 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.