San Martin SJ vs Ferrocarril Midland

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

San Martin SJ

Ferrocarril Midland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 2.04 DRAW 30.2% 3.30 AWAY 20.9% 4.77

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: San Martin SJ

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin SJ Ferrocarril Midland

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin SJ Ferrocarril Midland

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

San Martin SJ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin SJ Ferrocarril Midland

The combined recent performance profile favours San Martin SJ.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

San Martin SJ ↓ -0.16 (-7.3%)

Ferrocarril Midland ↑ +0.97 (+25.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.