AS Celtas (W) vs Real Aviles CF (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

AS Celtas (W)

Real Aviles CF (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 15.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% 1.43 DRAW 21.4% 4.30 AWAY 14.3% 6.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AS Celtas (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Celtas (W) Real Aviles CF (W)

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Celtas (W) Real Aviles CF (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Real Aviles CF (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Celtas (W) Real Aviles CF (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Aviles CF (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AS Celtas (W) ↑ +0.12 (+9.2%)

Real Aviles CF (W) ↓ -0.28 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.