Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions

11 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Northcote City

Bulleen Lions

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.35 DRAW 26.8% 3.70 AWAY 31.0% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Northcote City

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Northcote City Bulleen Lions

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Northcote City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Northcote City Bulleen Lions

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Bulleen Lions has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Northcote City Bulleen Lions

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Northcote City ↑ +0.25 (+11.7%)

Bulleen Lions ↑ +0.38 (+13.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.