South Hobart vs Devonport City

05 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

South Hobart

Devonport City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 20.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.95 DRAW 25.0% 4.00 AWAY 23.8% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates South Hobart clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.5% win probability, compared with 51.2% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

South Hobart has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Hobart Devonport City

Shots 19.0 · On target 9.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours South Hobart, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Hobart Devonport City

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

South Hobart has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Hobart Devonport City

The combined recent performance profile favours South Hobart.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

South Hobart ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Devonport City ↑ +0.91 (+27.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.