Malacateco vs Suchitepequez

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Malacateco

Suchitepequez

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 13.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% 1.55 DRAW 25.6% 3.65 AWAY 14.2% 6.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Malacateco has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malacateco Suchitepequez

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malacateco Suchitepequez

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Malacateco has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malacateco Suchitepequez

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Malacateco ↓ -0.05 (-3.1%)

Suchitepequez ↑ +1.43 (+27.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.