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New Zealand Northern League · NZ

Bay Olympic vs Birkenhead United

02 Sep 2026 · 09:15
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Away Lean

Home 10.0%
Draw 15.4%
Away 74.6%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 59.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Birkenhead United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bay Olympic Birkenhead United
Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bay Olympic Birkenhead United
Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Birkenhead United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bay Olympic Birkenhead United

The combined recent performance profile favours Birkenhead United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bay Olympic ↑ +2.10 (+26.3%)
Birkenhead United ↑ +0.02 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 0.289
Shot rating -55
Shots-on-target rating -33
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.