New Lambton FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 08:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.3 pp

New Lambton FC (W)

Broadmeadow Magic (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.8% DRAW 12.4% AWAY 8.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.5% 1.27 DRAW 14.9% 6.25 AWAY 11.5% 8.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates New Lambton FC (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.8% win probability, compared with 73.5% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

New Lambton FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

New Lambton FC (W) Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours New Lambton FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

New Lambton FC (W) Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0

New Lambton FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

New Lambton FC (W) Broadmeadow Magic (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours New Lambton FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

New Lambton FC (W) ↑ +0.15 (+12.9%)

Broadmeadow Magic (W) ↓ -3.90 (-32.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.