Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu

06 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Gil Vicente

Academico Viseu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 27.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.49 DRAW 31.6% 3.07 AWAY 29.3% 3.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gil Vicente

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gil Vicente Academico Viseu

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gil Vicente Academico Viseu

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Gil Vicente has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gil Vicente Academico Viseu

The combined recent performance profile favours Gil Vicente.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gil Vicente ↑ +0.58 (+30.6%)

Academico Viseu ↓ -1.06 (-24.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.