Hellas Syrou vs Apollon Kalamarias

07 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Hellas Syrou

Apollon Kalamarias

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% 1.95 DRAW 28.5% 3.30 AWAY 23.1% 4.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Apollon Kalamarias

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hellas Syrou Apollon Kalamarias

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Apollon Kalamarias, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hellas Syrou Apollon Kalamarias

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Hellas Syrou has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hellas Syrou Apollon Kalamarias

The combined recent performance profile favours Apollon Kalamarias.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hellas Syrou ↓ -0.21 (-10.2%)

Apollon Kalamarias ↑ +0.90 (+25.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.