Marko vs Panserraikos

07 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Marko

Panserraikos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% 3.40 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 42.4% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Marko relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.0% win probability, compared with 27.5% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Marko

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Marko Panserraikos

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Marko Panserraikos

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Marko has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Marko Panserraikos

The combined recent performance profile favours Marko.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Marko ↑ +0.15 (+4.6%)

Panserraikos ↑ +0.07 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.