Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis B

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Panionios

Asteras Tripolis B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.2% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 8.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.9% 1.36 DRAW 21.7% 4.33 AWAY 9.4% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Panionios has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Panionios Asteras Tripolis B

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Panionios, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Panionios Asteras Tripolis B

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Panionios has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Panionios Asteras Tripolis B

The combined recent performance profile favours Panionios.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Panionios ↓ -0.12 (-7.9%)

Asteras Tripolis B ↑ +3.31 (+49.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.