Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Coban Imperial

Guastatoya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% 1.74 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 19.9% 4.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guastatoya

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coban Imperial Guastatoya

Shots 4.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Guastatoya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coban Imperial Guastatoya

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coban Imperial Guastatoya

The combined recent performance profile favours Guastatoya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Coban Imperial ↓ -0.07 (-3.9%)

Guastatoya ↓ -0.17 (-3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.