Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre

03 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Deportivo Capiata

3 de Noviembre

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 1.98 DRAW 27.2% 3.40 AWAY 26.0% 3.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

3 de Noviembre has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Capiata 3 de Noviembre

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours 3 de Noviembre, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Capiata 3 de Noviembre

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3

3 de Noviembre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Capiata 3 de Noviembre

The combined recent performance profile favours 3 de Noviembre.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Capiata ↑ +0.07 (+3.7%)

3 de Noviembre ↓ -0.28 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.