GE Gloria vs Uniao Frederiquense

17 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

GE Gloria

Uniao Frederiquense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 35.7% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.50 DRAW 34.5% 2.72 AWAY 28.1% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Uniao Frederiquense relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.1% win probability, compared with 28.1% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Uniao Frederiquense

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

GE Gloria Uniao Frederiquense

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Uniao Frederiquense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GE Gloria Uniao Frederiquense

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GE Gloria Uniao Frederiquense

The combined recent performance profile favours Uniao Frederiquense.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

GE Gloria —

Uniao Frederiquense —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.