Santa Cruz RS vs Lajeadense

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Santa Cruz RS

Lajeadense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% 1.63 DRAW 27.2% 3.49 AWAY 14.6% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lajeadense

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Cruz RS Lajeadense

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Lajeadense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Cruz RS Lajeadense

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Santa Cruz RS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Cruz RS Lajeadense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Santa Cruz RS ↓ -0.09 (-5.2%)

Lajeadense ↓ -0.50 (-7.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.