Uniao Frederiquense vs Brasil de Pelotas

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Uniao Frederiquense

Brasil de Pelotas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 32.5% AWAY 35.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.6% 2.88 DRAW 32.0% 2.85 AWAY 36.4% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brasil de Pelotas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uniao Frederiquense Brasil de Pelotas

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uniao Frederiquense Brasil de Pelotas

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uniao Frederiquense Brasil de Pelotas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Uniao Frederiquense ↑ +0.38 (+15.2%)

Brasil de Pelotas = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.