Neom SC vs Al Fateh SC

13 Sep 2026 · 18:20

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Neom SC

Al Fateh SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 18.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.66 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 19.0% 5.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Neom SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Neom SC Al Fateh SC

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Neom SC Al Fateh SC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Neom SC Al Fateh SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Neom SC ↓ -0.04 (-2.6%)

Al Fateh SC ↑ +0.54 (+12.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.