Prospect United vs Parramatta Eagles

11 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Prospect United

Parramatta Eagles

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 32.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.10 DRAW 24.4% 3.80 AWAY 31.4% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Parramatta Eagles

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Prospect United Parramatta Eagles

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Prospect United Parramatta Eagles

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Parramatta Eagles has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Prospect United Parramatta Eagles

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Prospect United ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

Parramatta Eagles ↑ +0.25 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.