Inter de Limeira vs Paysandu

27 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Inter de Limeira

Paysandu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.10 DRAW 29.8% 3.14 AWAY 25.7% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Paysandu

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inter de Limeira Paysandu

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inter de Limeira Paysandu

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Paysandu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inter de Limeira Paysandu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Inter de Limeira ↑ +0.28 (+14.5%)

Paysandu = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.