Inter de Limeira vs Ferroviaria SP

05 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Inter de Limeira

Ferroviaria SP

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 27.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% 2.25 DRAW 31.1% 3.00 AWAY 27.4% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Inter de Limeira

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inter de Limeira Ferroviaria SP

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Ferroviaria SP, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inter de Limeira Ferroviaria SP

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inter de Limeira Ferroviaria SP

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Inter de Limeira ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

Ferroviaria SP ↑ +0.20 (+6.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.