Botafogo PB vs Maringa FC

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.3 pp

Botafogo PB

Maringa FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.40 DRAW 29.2% 3.17 AWAY 32.2% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Maringa FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.5% win probability, compared with 32.2% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maringa FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Botafogo PB Maringa FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Maringa FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Botafogo PB Maringa FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Maringa FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Botafogo PB Maringa FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Maringa FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Botafogo PB ↑ +0.30 (+14.3%)

Maringa FC ↓ -0.27 (-8.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.