Mbarara City vs NEC FC Bugolobi

11 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Mbarara City

NEC FC Bugolobi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 47.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.6% 4.50 DRAW 29.5% 3.15 AWAY 49.9% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NEC FC Bugolobi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mbarara City NEC FC Bugolobi

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mbarara City NEC FC Bugolobi

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mbarara City NEC FC Bugolobi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mbarara City = (0.0%)

NEC FC Bugolobi ↑ +0.14 (+7.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.