Union de Touarga vs FUS Rabat

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Union de Touarga

FUS Rabat

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% DRAW 34.8% AWAY 30.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% 3.20 DRAW 33.7% 2.80 AWAY 36.8% 2.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Union de Touarga clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.4% win probability, compared with 29.5% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Union de Touarga has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union de Touarga FUS Rabat

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Union de Touarga, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union de Touarga FUS Rabat

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Union de Touarga has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union de Touarga FUS Rabat

The combined recent performance profile favours Union de Touarga.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Union de Touarga ↑ +0.50 (+18.5%)

FUS Rabat ↑ +0.06 (+2.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.