Rive AC ES vs Linhares

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Rive AC ES

Linhares

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 2.89 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 40.2% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Linhares has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rive AC ES Linhares

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Linhares, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rive AC ES Linhares

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rive AC ES Linhares

The combined recent performance profile favours Linhares.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rive AC ES ↑ +0.34 (+13.3%)

Linhares ↓ -0.16 (-6.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.