FC Seoul vs Persib Bandung

16 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

FC Seoul

Persib Bandung

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 2.33 DRAW 29.3% 3.90 AWAY 21.7% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Seoul relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.2% win probability, compared with 49.0% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Seoul has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Seoul Persib Bandung

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Seoul Persib Bandung

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Seoul has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Seoul Persib Bandung

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Seoul.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Seoul ↑ +0.93 (+66.7%)

Persib Bandung ↓ -1.48 (-22.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.